Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.234242 0.252317 0.271459 0.293301 0.317604 0.343895 0.374597
2025-12-21 0.199062 0.224155 0.252406 0.286818 0.327936 0.375919 0.436789
2025-12-28 0.183331 0.213150 0.248259 0.293181 0.349918 0.420295 0.515982
2026-01-04 0.170849 0.203599 0.243529 0.296666 0.366895 0.458598 0.591036
2026-01-11 0.159779 0.194239 0.237467 0.296901 0.378535 0.489990 0.659876
2026-01-18 0.148386 0.183277 0.228055 0.291280 0.380936 0.508049 0.711090
2026-01-25 0.137722 0.172347 0.217633 0.283020 0.378296 0.517869 0.750261
2026-02-01 0.129558 0.164103 0.210086 0.277888 0.379274 0.532566 0.798468
2026-02-08 0.121970 0.156118 0.202274 0.271598 0.377670 0.542690 0.839927
2026-02-15 0.115816 0.149712 0.196197 0.267256 0.378429 0.556285 0.888925
2026-02-22 0.112525 0.147070 0.195220 0.270307 0.390809 0.589954 0.979391
2026-03-01 0.108337 0.142905 0.191749 0.269215 0.396277 0.612272 1.051708
2026-03-08 0.104250 0.138799 0.188296 0.268168 0.402165 0.636793 1.134795
2026-03-15 0.099157 0.133008 0.182051 0.262311 0.399476 0.645641 1.187244
2026-03-22 0.097412 0.132021 0.182942 0.267928 0.417015 0.694180 1.336888
2026-03-29 0.095171 0.130162 0.182356 0.271008 0.430251 0.736058 1.481226
2026-04-05 0.092424 0.127396 0.180181 0.271216 0.438174 0.768205 1.609604
2026-04-12 0.088712 0.122990 0.175186 0.266243 0.435891 0.778755 1.684323
2026-04-19 0.084732 0.118018 0.169060 0.258928 0.428508 0.777496 1.726682
2026-04-26 0.081586 0.114221 0.164658 0.254380 0.426127 0.786919 1.801963
2026-05-03 0.078413 0.110267 0.159834 0.248799 0.421250 0.790166 1.860081
2026-05-10 0.075771 0.107055 0.156088 0.244944 0.419528 0.800460 1.942890
2026-05-17 0.074565 0.106069 0.155965 0.247653 0.431401 0.844231 2.146666